New data out indicates that voters are beginning to sour on Obama as the generic Republican candidate is in a statistical tie with the President on a generic ballot.

The problem is not an issue with the Democratic base (although many of the wave voters will not turn out again), but Independents are sorry that the change they voted for was not necessarily the change they wanted:

Most Democratic voters and Republican voters plan to support their own party’s candidate for president in the 2012 election. Independents currently show a greater preference for the Republican candidate than for Obama, by 45% to 31%, though about one in four do not have an opinion.

Losing Independents by this margin during mid-terms is an indication of impeding losses by Democrats - especially the Republican-leaning seat they’ve picked up over the past two election cycles.

Will Republicans win enough seats to win back the house?  I’m not sure yet, but we will certainly win enough to make a stand on the rest of Obama’s legislation.  Regardless, Obama’s political strength is eroding.  Not just in this survey, but he was unable to motivate “wave” voters to turn out in Massachusetts, New Jersey and Virginia.

This is going to be a tough cycle for Democrats.

Roughly 24-hours from now, the polls on the east coast will be closing.  Undoubtedly, the election will be leaning heavily Democratic at nearly every level. Republicans should brace for losses at the Congressional, Sentaorial, and Presidential levels.

As I mentioned before, this is not a loss but rather the beginning of a new generation of Republicans.  A number of Republican state chairmen have begun the process of healing by scheduling reforming events - concentrating on the future.

We may have lost the battle, but we are on track to win the war.

A recent survey reveals that 51% of the electorate believes that news coverage of Sarah Palin is driven by journalists that want to “hurt” her.  The blogshpere has taken it a step further with conspiracy theories about Palin’s youngest child being the offspring of her eldest daughter.  It’s so bad that Obama has had to distance himself from the banter.

The more troubling aspect of the coverage for Obama is that many pundits and journalists have been comparing his experience to Palin’s, despite his being the top of his ticket.  This Obama vs. Palin issue is poisonous for Obama, who has yet to really attack the newly minted Republican ticket.

The AP/Yahoo News poll released today points to further problems voters have with Obama.  This isn’t the first time that we’ve seen voters, even Democratic voters, say they just don’t trust Obama.

A June FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics survey shows that voters trust McCain more than Obama (43%-37%).  However, the big news in that survey is that only 69% of Democrats say they trust Obama, while fully 81% of Republicans say they trust McCain.  This signals a major trust issue, even among Obama’s base voters.  But, the bad news doesn’t stop there as Independents indicate that they trust McCain over Obama by a 43%-25% margin.

Now, move forward to the AP/Yahoo News poll released today.  This survey again shows that voters are struggling with Obama, noting that he lacks experience and is perceived as being dishonest.  Contrarily, McCain’s age comes as the top attribute voters mention, but this naturally contrasts with Obama’s lack of experience.  With the exception of voters pointing to McCain as being “Bush”-like, the electorate are complementary of McCain, again demonstrating continued trust in judgement.

Here is what voters say:

John McCain:
1. Old, 19 percent
2. Military service, 9 percent
3. Record, qualifications, 8 percent
4. Bush, 7 percent
5. Strength, 7 percent
6. Insider, politician, 7 percent
7. Iraq, terrorism, 6 percent
8. Honest, 5 percent
9. Republican, 5 percent
10. (tie) Moral/good and dishonest, 4 percent

Barack Obama:
1. Outsider, change, 20 percent
2. Lack of experience, 13 percent
3. Dishonest, 9 percent
4. Inspiring, 8 percent
5. Liberal, 6 percent
6, 7 (tie). Obama’s race, young, 6 percent
8. Not likable, 5 percent
9. Intelligent, 4 percent
10. Muslim, 3 percent