NPEA Air Wars WRS Insider Blog


Corzine, Dodd TV ads score below average
Chris Christie, Jon Corzine, Chris Dodd


Christie's Corruption-fighting Scores on TV
Chris Christie, Charlie Crist, DSCC, Marco Rubio, Health Justice, Terry McAuliffe


Air Wars Analysis March 26-31, 2009
Barack Obama, Jim Tedisco, Scott Murphy, Card Check, Harry Reid


Early GOP ad on stimulus uninspiring
Harry Reid, America's Power, Chamber of Commerce, Reality Coalition, American Rights At Work


Hastings Wyman, Southern Political Report 'Grits'
James Inhofe (R-OK), Tom Feeney (R-FL)


Air Wars Analysis September 29 - October 30, 2008
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air War: Feeney’s mea culpa ad scores, honestly
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air Wars Analysis September 17, 2008
McCain, Palin, Obama, Dole (R-NC), Fimian (R-VA)


The Air War: "Coleman's shot at Franken's 'juicy porn' not quite a bull's-eye"
Barack Obama, John McCain, Ronnie Musgrove, Norm Coleman, Al Franken


The Hill: Air War: MoveOns Not Alex ad scores big with independents
MoveOn.org, Obama, McCain, Gordon Smith, Harri Anne Smith


Air Wars Analysis July 17, 2008
John McCain, Barrack Obama, Harri Anne Smith (R-AL), Gordon Smith (R-OR)


The Airwar: Warner keeps it going with first ad offering
Warner (D-VA), Dole (R-NC), Sununu (R-NH)


Air Wars Analysis, June 18, 2008
RNC, Sununu, NRSC, Warner, MoveOn.org


Air Wars Analysis, June 3, 2008
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R), Bob Schaffer (R-CO), Mark Udall (D-CO), Jay Love (R-AL)


04-16-08 President
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R)


11-18-07 President
Edwards(D), Clinton(D), Thompson(R), Paul(R)


03-18-08 ‘3 a.m.’ ad unconvincing
Clinton


10-23-07 President
Obama(D), Clinton (D), McCain (R), Richardson (D), Romney (R)


9-21-07 President
Thompson (R)


8-22-07 The Best
and Worst
Campaign Ads
of 2006
(Winning Campaigns)


8-15-07 President
Anti-Huckabee
LA Gov
Jindal (R), Boasso (D)
MS Gov
Eaves (D)


7-24-07 President
Obama (D), Edwards (D)
KS 02
Anti-Jenkins
DCCC Veterans Ad


6-28-07 President
Richardson (D), Kucinich (D), Dodd (D), Clinton (D)


5-30-07 President
Richardson (D), Anti-Bush (D), Dodd (D), Thompson (R)


5-17-07 President
Edwards (D), Richardson (D), Giuliani (R)


4-25-07 President
Anti-Clinton (D)


3-7-07 President
Romney (R), Hunter (R)


2-16-07 President
Obama (D), McCain (R)


11-16-06 110th Congress

11-7-06 MD Senate
Cardin (D), Steele (R)


10-25-06 NY CD 26
Davis (D), Reynolds (R)


10-12-06 TX CD 17
Edwards (D), Taylor (R)


10-5-06 NY CD 20
Gillibrand (D), Sweeney (R)


9-14-06 MO Senate
McCaskill (D), Talent (R)


7-27-06 CT Senate
Lamont (D), Lieberman (I)


6-29-06 IA Gubernatorial
Culver (D), Nussle (R)


6-15-06 AZ Senate
Pederson (D), Kyl (R)


5-18-06 CA CD 50
Busby (D), Bilbray (R)


5-4-06 PA Gubernatorial
Swann (R)


4-19-06 Abramoff

3-30-06 MI Gubernatorial
DeVos (R)



Wilson Research Strategies and The Hill Ad Review - Blog


 

Posts Tagged ‘gallup’

How Did We Get Here?

Thursday, April 30th, 2009

Remember Admiral Stockdale?  In 1992 he was Ross Perot’s running mate.  A decorated career military man he was famously and disarmingly out of his element during the 1992 vice presidential debates.  At one point during the debate he said, “What am I doing here?”  At the time all of the smart people thought it was cute, a bit sad and some how it perfectly summarized Perot’s presidential bid.  A few years later, Dennis Miller remarked on Stockdale’s performance, “Could Stockdale have been our vice president?  You bet he could!  Do you think Al Gore is some kind of visionary leader?  His favorite movie is Tron for God’s sake!”

While looking at a recent Gallup poll I couldn’t help but think of this minor episode in presidential campaign history.  The study surveyed Americans opinions concerning the role of government and the Obama administrations new policies aimed at expanding that role due to the economic crisis.  

The findings showed that 45% of Americans are in favor of temporarily expanding the role of government until the current economic crisis is over.  Only 13% of Americans support the expansion of government and making these new policies permanent. 

Those in the 45% universe are surely being good pragmatists and likely make the assumption these new policies are by law temporary, like the Bush tax cuts, or are easily retracted.  Those who believe this fail to realize government doesn’t work that way and once it expands its power it is difficult, next to impossible to make it retract. 

I think Stockdale and Al “Tron” Gore serve as a good analogy for where our country is today.  Like Stockdale we’ve had a notable career, a nice run but things are different now and we have a group of ”visionary leaders” who want to take us down a road we’re unsure of but we don’t know how we got here.  

Gallup Misses the Point on Illegal Immigration

Thursday, July 10th, 2008

As part of their annual Rights and Relations survey, Gallup today released findings from a recent study of 1900 adults nationwide showing that attitudes toward legal immigration had softened since the terrorist attacks on September 11.  That’s to be expected.

The problem with their findings is when they move from writing about legal immigration to writing about illegal immigration.  They make a leap from addressing legal immigration to addressing California’s Prop 187, which denied government benefits to illegal immigrants.

They do a solid job of detailing the dichotomy illustrated by two-thirds of Americans beleiving  immigrants cost taxpayers too much by using government services as opposed to becoming productive citizens who pay their fair share of taxes while 79% believe illegal immigrants takes low-paying jobs that Americans don’t want:

All this is very good–not surprising for Gallup.  However, they then editorialize that “illegal immigration has faded from the public consciousness”, based on the finding that just 27% of Americans Adults (not voters remember) say illegal immigration will be an extremely important issue to their vote for President this year.

Has illegal immigration faded as an issue?  The economy has certainly been the top issue since around last December, but what about illegal immigration?  According to PollingReport.com, it really hasn’t faded much at all when asked comparatively.  In May of 2007 (CNN/Opinion Research Corporation. May 4-6, 2007. N=1,028 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3), 31% called illegal immigration “extremely important” in their vote for president.  In January of 2007 (CNN/Opinion Research Corporation. Jan. 19-21, 2007. N=1,008 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3), 32% called illegal immigration “extremely important”,  In October of 2006 (FOX News/Opinion Dynamics. Oct. 10-11, 2006. N=900 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3), 29% said illegal immigration was “extremely important”.

So, the number today is 27%, and in the past it’s been 31%, 32% and 29%.  Pretty consistent, particularly considering the rise in importance of the economy.

Bottom line is this is a good survey by Gallup, and it’s a postive thing that attitudes toward legal immigrants have softened.  But attitudes regarding illegal immigration have, in my opinion, stayed about the same for the last few years and these data released today don’t prove anything different.Â