NPEA Air Wars WRS Insider Blog


Corzine, Dodd TV ads score below average
Chris Christie, Jon Corzine, Chris Dodd


Christie's Corruption-fighting Scores on TV
Chris Christie, Charlie Crist, DSCC, Marco Rubio, Health Justice, Terry McAuliffe


Air Wars Analysis March 26-31, 2009
Barack Obama, Jim Tedisco, Scott Murphy, Card Check, Harry Reid


Early GOP ad on stimulus uninspiring
Harry Reid, America's Power, Chamber of Commerce, Reality Coalition, American Rights At Work


Hastings Wyman, Southern Political Report 'Grits'
James Inhofe (R-OK), Tom Feeney (R-FL)


Air Wars Analysis September 29 - October 30, 2008
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air War: Feeney’s mea culpa ad scores, honestly
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air Wars Analysis September 17, 2008
McCain, Palin, Obama, Dole (R-NC), Fimian (R-VA)


The Air War: "Coleman's shot at Franken's 'juicy porn' not quite a bull's-eye"
Barack Obama, John McCain, Ronnie Musgrove, Norm Coleman, Al Franken


The Hill: Air War: MoveOns Not Alex ad scores big with independents
MoveOn.org, Obama, McCain, Gordon Smith, Harri Anne Smith


Air Wars Analysis July 17, 2008
John McCain, Barrack Obama, Harri Anne Smith (R-AL), Gordon Smith (R-OR)


The Airwar: Warner keeps it going with first ad offering
Warner (D-VA), Dole (R-NC), Sununu (R-NH)


Air Wars Analysis, June 18, 2008
RNC, Sununu, NRSC, Warner, MoveOn.org


Air Wars Analysis, June 3, 2008
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R), Bob Schaffer (R-CO), Mark Udall (D-CO), Jay Love (R-AL)


04-16-08 President
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R)


11-18-07 President
Edwards(D), Clinton(D), Thompson(R), Paul(R)


03-18-08 ‘3 a.m.’ ad unconvincing
Clinton


10-23-07 President
Obama(D), Clinton (D), McCain (R), Richardson (D), Romney (R)


9-21-07 President
Thompson (R)


8-22-07 The Best
and Worst
Campaign Ads
of 2006
(Winning Campaigns)


8-15-07 President
Anti-Huckabee
LA Gov
Jindal (R), Boasso (D)
MS Gov
Eaves (D)


7-24-07 President
Obama (D), Edwards (D)
KS 02
Anti-Jenkins
DCCC Veterans Ad


6-28-07 President
Richardson (D), Kucinich (D), Dodd (D), Clinton (D)


5-30-07 President
Richardson (D), Anti-Bush (D), Dodd (D), Thompson (R)


5-17-07 President
Edwards (D), Richardson (D), Giuliani (R)


4-25-07 President
Anti-Clinton (D)


3-7-07 President
Romney (R), Hunter (R)


2-16-07 President
Obama (D), McCain (R)


11-16-06 110th Congress

11-7-06 MD Senate
Cardin (D), Steele (R)


10-25-06 NY CD 26
Davis (D), Reynolds (R)


10-12-06 TX CD 17
Edwards (D), Taylor (R)


10-5-06 NY CD 20
Gillibrand (D), Sweeney (R)


9-14-06 MO Senate
McCaskill (D), Talent (R)


7-27-06 CT Senate
Lamont (D), Lieberman (I)


6-29-06 IA Gubernatorial
Culver (D), Nussle (R)


6-15-06 AZ Senate
Pederson (D), Kyl (R)


5-18-06 CA CD 50
Busby (D), Bilbray (R)


5-4-06 PA Gubernatorial
Swann (R)


4-19-06 Abramoff

3-30-06 MI Gubernatorial
DeVos (R)



Wilson Research Strategies and The Hill Ad Review - Blog


 

Posts Tagged ‘Campaign Strategies’

The Republican Youth Vote…is it just a myth?

Monday, September 28th, 2009

I was invited to talk about the Republican youth vote and coalition building with Chris Malagisi (the Chairman of the Young Conservatives Coalition) on the Winston Group’s webshow (the Right Idea) hosted by Kristen Soltis

GOP’s Women Problems

Monday, May 11th, 2009

A recently released survey shows some seriously concerning numbers for the Republicans, as more women self-identify themselves as Democrats than in November 2008 win the GOP lost the White House.

It’s not news that Democrats have the edge over Republicans among female voters.  It’s been that way for a while now…

However, when you look at the trends with leaners included (those voters who say they are Independent but LEAN towards either the Republicans or Democrats), you will get the sense that the Grand Old Party is struggling to connect with women.

You will notice that even with a women on the ticket in 2008, the Democrats maintained a solid lead in identification.  So, the Republican party will have to do more than that to win over the hearts and minds of American women.  This could translate into more trouble for Republicans headed into the 2010 mid-term elections.  Successful campaign strategies will have to be deployed to attract Independent women voters specifically.

 

Conservative vs Liberal GOP Consultants

Friday, April 24th, 2009

A great assessment at Redstate blog analyzing Conservative vs Liberal Republican Consultants:

Thought I was told I could take credit for this, I really can’t. A friend put it together and I’m going to recirculate it.

When you start vetting Republican candidates, you will inevitably hear some sweet nothing coming from the mouth of one of the candidates attempting to woo you over to side. That candidate might even sound conservative. Want to figure out if the person is or is not a real conservative? Look at the consultants:

Over the last four election cycles, there have been many hotly contested Republican primary contests for the House, Senate, and Governorships. Most of these have been personality-driven contests for open seats, rather than ideological battles for the soul of the party. However, there have been a number of primaries which were contested mainly on ideological grounds – between a liberal or moderate candidate and one or more conservatives.

We looked at eighteen key primary contests from 2002 to 2008 in order to determine whether any Republican consulting firms were very likely to consistently work for the more liberal candidate. The eighteen contests were chosen based on there being a clear ideological division between a liberal or moderate and one or more credible conservative opponents. These races include challenges to incumbents, such as the Pat Toomey vs. Arlen Specter in the 2004 Pennsylvania Senate primary and open seats such as Doug Ose vs. Tom McClintock for CA CD 4 in 2008.

In examining these races, we found a clear pattern of certain political consulting firms tending to nearly always side with the liberal or moderate candidate rather than with the conservative.

In eight different primaries, pollster Public Opinion Strategies worked for the most liberal Republican candidate. These included incumbents being challenged, such as Arlen Specter, Lincoln Chafee, and Wayne Gilchrest, and candidates for open seats such as Jim Petro, Bill Weld, and Doug Ose.

Media consultants Stevens, Reed, Curcio, and Potholm, Internet consultant Campaign Solutions, and pollster Moore Information worked for liberal candidates in three of the races a piece. Media consultant Chris Mottola, and pollsters The Tarrance Group and American Viewpoint worked for two.

Public Opinion Strategies (pollster): Arlen Specter (PA Sen 2004), Bill Weld (NY Gov 2006), Jim Petro (OH Gov 2006), Bob Corker (TN Sen 2006), Lincoln Chafee (RI Sen 2006), Heather Wilson (NM Sen 2008), Doug Ose (CA CD 4 2008), Wayne Gilchrest (MD CD 1 2008).

Stevens, Reed, Curcio, and Potholm (media consultant): Judy Baar Topinka (IL Gov 2006), Bob Corker (TN Sen 2006), Lynn Jenkins (KS CD 2 2008)

Campaign Solutions (Internet consultant): Johnny Isakson (GA Sen 2004), Arlen Specter (PA Sen 2004), Bill Weld (NY Gov 2006).

Moore Information (pollster): Lisa Murkowski (AK Sen 2004), Chris Cannon (UT CD 3 2008), Don Young (AK – AL 2008).

Chris Mottola (media consultant) : Arlen Specter (PA Sen 2004), Lincoln Chafee (RI Sen 2006).

The Tarrance Group (pollster): Dean Heller (NV CD 2 2006), Lynn Jenkins (KS CD 2 2006).

American Viewpoint (pollster): Judy Baar Topinka (IL Gov 2006), Johnny Isakson (GA Sen 2004).

One or two of these companies are on this list mainly by coincidence: Campaign Solutions has dozens of Republican campaigns as clients. Others, however, seem to consistently work to promote moderate and liberal Republican candidates. For example, Chris Mottola’s other clients include Gordon Smith and George Pataki, and his firm’s website notes that he was the first consultant to promote a candidate with pro-gay rights advertising.

The GOP primary elections examined for this study were: TN Senate 2002, GA Senate 2004, MI CD 7 2004/2006, OK Senate 2004, AK Senate 2004, PA Senate 2004, NY Gov 2006, IL Gov 2006, OH Gov 2006, TN Senate 2006, RI Senate 2006, NV CD 2 2006, KS CD 2 2008, UT CD 3 2008, NM Senate 2008, AK – AL 2008, CA CD 4 2008, MD CD 1 2008.