NPEA Air Wars WRS Insider Blog


Corzine, Dodd TV ads score below average
Chris Christie, Jon Corzine, Chris Dodd


Christie's Corruption-fighting Scores on TV
Chris Christie, Charlie Crist, DSCC, Marco Rubio, Health Justice, Terry McAuliffe


Air Wars Analysis March 26-31, 2009
Barack Obama, Jim Tedisco, Scott Murphy, Card Check, Harry Reid


Early GOP ad on stimulus uninspiring
Harry Reid, America's Power, Chamber of Commerce, Reality Coalition, American Rights At Work


Hastings Wyman, Southern Political Report 'Grits'
James Inhofe (R-OK), Tom Feeney (R-FL)


Air Wars Analysis September 29 - October 30, 2008
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air War: Feeney’s mea culpa ad scores, honestly
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air Wars Analysis September 17, 2008
McCain, Palin, Obama, Dole (R-NC), Fimian (R-VA)


The Air War: "Coleman's shot at Franken's 'juicy porn' not quite a bull's-eye"
Barack Obama, John McCain, Ronnie Musgrove, Norm Coleman, Al Franken


The Hill: Air War: MoveOns Not Alex ad scores big with independents
MoveOn.org, Obama, McCain, Gordon Smith, Harri Anne Smith


Air Wars Analysis July 17, 2008
John McCain, Barrack Obama, Harri Anne Smith (R-AL), Gordon Smith (R-OR)


The Airwar: Warner keeps it going with first ad offering
Warner (D-VA), Dole (R-NC), Sununu (R-NH)


Air Wars Analysis, June 18, 2008
RNC, Sununu, NRSC, Warner, MoveOn.org


Air Wars Analysis, June 3, 2008
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R), Bob Schaffer (R-CO), Mark Udall (D-CO), Jay Love (R-AL)


04-16-08 President
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R)


11-18-07 President
Edwards(D), Clinton(D), Thompson(R), Paul(R)


03-18-08 ‘3 a.m.’ ad unconvincing
Clinton


10-23-07 President
Obama(D), Clinton (D), McCain (R), Richardson (D), Romney (R)


9-21-07 President
Thompson (R)


8-22-07 The Best
and Worst
Campaign Ads
of 2006
(Winning Campaigns)


8-15-07 President
Anti-Huckabee
LA Gov
Jindal (R), Boasso (D)
MS Gov
Eaves (D)


7-24-07 President
Obama (D), Edwards (D)
KS 02
Anti-Jenkins
DCCC Veterans Ad


6-28-07 President
Richardson (D), Kucinich (D), Dodd (D), Clinton (D)


5-30-07 President
Richardson (D), Anti-Bush (D), Dodd (D), Thompson (R)


5-17-07 President
Edwards (D), Richardson (D), Giuliani (R)


4-25-07 President
Anti-Clinton (D)


3-7-07 President
Romney (R), Hunter (R)


2-16-07 President
Obama (D), McCain (R)


11-16-06 110th Congress

11-7-06 MD Senate
Cardin (D), Steele (R)


10-25-06 NY CD 26
Davis (D), Reynolds (R)


10-12-06 TX CD 17
Edwards (D), Taylor (R)


10-5-06 NY CD 20
Gillibrand (D), Sweeney (R)


9-14-06 MO Senate
McCaskill (D), Talent (R)


7-27-06 CT Senate
Lamont (D), Lieberman (I)


6-29-06 IA Gubernatorial
Culver (D), Nussle (R)


6-15-06 AZ Senate
Pederson (D), Kyl (R)


5-18-06 CA CD 50
Busby (D), Bilbray (R)


5-4-06 PA Gubernatorial
Swann (R)


4-19-06 Abramoff

3-30-06 MI Gubernatorial
DeVos (R)



Wilson Research Strategies and The Hill Ad Review - Blog


 

The Coming Anti-Incumbent Wave

Before Republicans start rejoicing about a political environment that favors them in 2010, they should consider that their incumbents aren’t immune from the growing anti-incumbent sentiment.  Voters are certainly upset about government spending.  That can be interpreted as a growing distaste for cap and trade, Obama’s health care reform, and even the stimulus.  But, when voters are mad with their government, they have a tendency to blame all incumbents - not just Democrats.

Republicans must develop strategies that distance themselves from the aspects that voters are most upset about - spending.  However, longtime Republican incumbents should beware of setting themselves up for a hypocrisy charge.  Every vote for earmarks and bizarre spending bills can prevent the Republican from making strong arguments against Democratic opponents without being hit for doing the same.

Likewise, Republican challengers should be prepared to criticize both parties for the problems we are facing now.

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4 Responses to “The Coming Anti-Incumbent Wave”

  1. Robert Fowler Says:

    You know, that is an excellent point. We Independents thought the “Tea Parties” were a good idea until the Republicans claimed them as their own. We don’t like them any better than the current administration. They would like us to think it only the current administration we are protesting and we are on their side. That is how they are trying to position this. any and frustration by the public about how things are going in this country.

    The author continues ” Likewise, Republican challengers should be prepared to criticize both parties for the problems we are facing now.”

    We that would be, in our opinion, very good advise for the Republicans. But I don’t think they see it that way.

    Robert Fowler
    Anti-Incumbents.com

  2. Cliff Degner Says:

    I have to agree as well. The Tea Party I attended in Indianapolis shared that in ‘08, Congress had a 6% job approval rating,,,but 94% of all incumbents were re-elected!

    Generally, I have Republican views. I don’t believe in “Global Warming” as a man made cause. We have these temperature variations called “seasons.” What will liberals/ Democrats do when the Earth starts cooling nad we have another ice age? I agree with George Carlin that it is arrogant of us to believe WE humans, who haven’t been around that long, can cause rising temperatures by burning up our predecessors in the form of oil. What are we going to do about the active volcanos spewing ash into the air? The oceans evaporating, releasing CO2 in the process. Is there a plan for that?

    I also tire of the Republicans catering to the rich,,,even though there’s nothing wrong with wealth, but what happened to their stance of personal responsibility? Success shouldn’t be regulated. Greed should be. I don’t think we need health care reform as much as we do Insurance industry reform.

    In my opinion, both parties have let us down. The Tea Party isn’t an “Anti-Obama” or “anti-Democrat/ pro-Republican” movement. It is an “anti-incumbent” movement. It may not make sense to vote in the new guy, but does it make sense to keep voting in the same person that helped get us in the mess we’re in now?

    Come September 2010, I’m exercising my right to vote in telling whomever is running for re-election - “You had your chance. You’re Fired.”

  3. Cliff Degner Says:

    I just wanted to add, too, that the past 2 Democrat President’s were elected by running on a platform of “change.” Look up Bill Clinton on Youtube and watch him in the debates.

    2010 is time for change to trickle down to Congress. They need to be reminded who they work for, instead of getting elected by the majority to provide for the minority. What I mean is, they are hired through election by the American person, not the corporate entity.

    Cap and trade? Yeah - put a cap on Congressional entitlements, taxes, borrowing and spending and trade one non-working Federal wasteful program failure for one that does work and is successful.

  4. The Growing Anti-Incumbent Wave | Wilson Research Strategies Political Insider Journal Says:

    [...] wrote in late August that the changing political environment meant good news for Republicans, but not necessarily good [...]

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