NPEA Air Wars WRS Insider Blog


Corzine, Dodd TV ads score below average
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Christie's Corruption-fighting Scores on TV
Chris Christie, Charlie Crist, DSCC, Marco Rubio, Health Justice, Terry McAuliffe


Air Wars Analysis March 26-31, 2009
Barack Obama, Jim Tedisco, Scott Murphy, Card Check, Harry Reid


Early GOP ad on stimulus uninspiring
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Hastings Wyman, Southern Political Report 'Grits'
James Inhofe (R-OK), Tom Feeney (R-FL)


Air Wars Analysis September 29 - October 30, 2008
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air War: Feeney’s mea culpa ad scores, honestly
John McCain, Barack Obama, Tom Feeney (R FL), Tim Bee (R AZ), Chris Shays (R CT), Gabrielle Giffords (D AZ)


Air Wars Analysis September 17, 2008
McCain, Palin, Obama, Dole (R-NC), Fimian (R-VA)


The Air War: "Coleman's shot at Franken's 'juicy porn' not quite a bull's-eye"
Barack Obama, John McCain, Ronnie Musgrove, Norm Coleman, Al Franken


The Hill: Air War: MoveOns Not Alex ad scores big with independents
MoveOn.org, Obama, McCain, Gordon Smith, Harri Anne Smith


Air Wars Analysis July 17, 2008
John McCain, Barrack Obama, Harri Anne Smith (R-AL), Gordon Smith (R-OR)


The Airwar: Warner keeps it going with first ad offering
Warner (D-VA), Dole (R-NC), Sununu (R-NH)


Air Wars Analysis, June 18, 2008
RNC, Sununu, NRSC, Warner, MoveOn.org


Air Wars Analysis, June 3, 2008
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R), Bob Schaffer (R-CO), Mark Udall (D-CO), Jay Love (R-AL)


04-16-08 President
Barack Obama (D), John McCain (R)


11-18-07 President
Edwards(D), Clinton(D), Thompson(R), Paul(R)


03-18-08 ‘3 a.m.’ ad unconvincing
Clinton


10-23-07 President
Obama(D), Clinton (D), McCain (R), Richardson (D), Romney (R)


9-21-07 President
Thompson (R)


8-22-07 The Best
and Worst
Campaign Ads
of 2006
(Winning Campaigns)


8-15-07 President
Anti-Huckabee
LA Gov
Jindal (R), Boasso (D)
MS Gov
Eaves (D)


7-24-07 President
Obama (D), Edwards (D)
KS 02
Anti-Jenkins
DCCC Veterans Ad


6-28-07 President
Richardson (D), Kucinich (D), Dodd (D), Clinton (D)


5-30-07 President
Richardson (D), Anti-Bush (D), Dodd (D), Thompson (R)


5-17-07 President
Edwards (D), Richardson (D), Giuliani (R)


4-25-07 President
Anti-Clinton (D)


3-7-07 President
Romney (R), Hunter (R)


2-16-07 President
Obama (D), McCain (R)


11-16-06 110th Congress

11-7-06 MD Senate
Cardin (D), Steele (R)


10-25-06 NY CD 26
Davis (D), Reynolds (R)


10-12-06 TX CD 17
Edwards (D), Taylor (R)


10-5-06 NY CD 20
Gillibrand (D), Sweeney (R)


9-14-06 MO Senate
McCaskill (D), Talent (R)


7-27-06 CT Senate
Lamont (D), Lieberman (I)


6-29-06 IA Gubernatorial
Culver (D), Nussle (R)


6-15-06 AZ Senate
Pederson (D), Kyl (R)


5-18-06 CA CD 50
Busby (D), Bilbray (R)


5-4-06 PA Gubernatorial
Swann (R)


4-19-06 Abramoff

3-30-06 MI Gubernatorial
DeVos (R)



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The “Republican” Problem

Losing the White House and the ousting of President George W. Bush is not enough to bring voters back to the Republican party.  It may be too early to tell whether the GOP naturally recovers, but a recent poll indicates that 36% of Americans identify themselves as Democrats while only 28% say they are Republican.

The Democrats’ eight-point party identification advantage could spell huge trouble for Republicans in 2010 and beyond, meaning that the GOP has to carry the majority of its base vote in addition to significant numbers of Independents to win races. 

This makes reaching out to moderates and Independents key to victory.  This does NOT mean that the Republican party has to become moderate, but it must focus on more main-stream issues like economy, conservation, and the environment and leave talk about abortion and guns to targeted mail pieces of those voters who care about those issues.  The fact is that many Americans currently view the Republican party as a group of extremists because we have used the anti-abortion and pro-gun messages as our lead approach.  This turned away droves of voters who now say they are Independent or even Democratic.  What’s worse is that these voters will be hard to bring back to the party.

Next week, Republicans gather in Washington, D.C. to choose a new Chairman of the RNC.  Here’s hoping that all those vying for the position realize that we can still be the conservative party, remaining unmoved on our current issues, without turning people away by pushing messages and issues that are meant for smaller sub-groups. 

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2 Responses to “The “Republican” Problem”

  1. An ocean of blue: how the US went from a nation of “red” states to a country of blue | Wilson Research Strategies Political Insider Journal Says:

    [...] I mentioned last week, Democrats have the edge in voter identification.  In fact, when we include leaners (those who say [...]

  2. Can Republicans Win by Moderating? | Wilson Research Strategies Political Insider Journal Says:

    [...] wrote about this exact same thing before the RNC Winter meeting in January (see here).  The problem we are facing as a party is that moderates and Independents haven’t been [...]

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