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The Meltdown: Does it Influence Votes?

As of right now, less than you would think.

Across the board, we see that the economy as the most important issue. Last night, the federal government, under the direction of Secretary Paulson and at the directive of President Bush, met with lawmakers in an emergency meeting. Today, Secretary Paulson held a press conference to lay out the federal government’s next moves to insert itself in to the economy and inject tax dollars.

For months, the presidential campaigns have focused on the economy. Obama has worked to tie McCain to Bush. McCain has worked against that image. Today, we see the Gallup’s numbers from a survey conducted on Wednesday that shows the political effect of the financial crisis. While 4 in 10 voters do not see the current situation affecting their vote, Obama sees a 7 point advantage among those who would let the current meltdown influence their vote. Regardless of the advantage that Obama holds over McCain, voters do not see a difference in who they believe could handle the Wall Street crisis, with 43% saying Obama would handle it best and 42% responding that McCain would.

This week, both candidates have been on the road explaining why their platform is best for handling the current situation. Both have come across problems, with McCain having to dance around regulation issues and Obama avoiding detailed answers. Both have also attacked each other aggressively, with Obama taking more of an offensive position. Regardless of what the candidates say or do for the next few weeks, they can’t pull the trigger on any of their plans. The Bush administration will proceed as it sees fit and hopefully derail further financial disaster.

 

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The Bailout, and Where Americans Stand

So where do Americans stand on the $700 billion economic bailout plan? Recent polls show Americans really do not support the bailout with only 28% supporting the idea.  Nearly 37% oppose it and 35% are undecided. Interestingly, of the 62% of Americans who are investors the numbers are also split o

The Meltdown: Does it Influence Votes?

As of right now, less than you would think. Across the board, we see that the economy as the most important issue. Last night, the federal government, under the direction of Secretary Paulson and at the directive of President Bush, met with lawmakers in an emergency meeting. Today, Secretary Paulson

Abortion. We Know Where the Candidats Stand, But Where Does America Stand?

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ABC Study: Including cell-phone only respondents in a political poll produces a negligible impact on overall results.

We guard against this by using a combination or RBS and RDD sampling.  However, it is nice to see the ABC News/Washington Post poll tested the approach, finding slight changes at most when cell-only respondents were included with a traditional land-line telephone sample.   Across 100 response cate


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