Facebook Thumbnail: WPA Opinion Research Logo

The Problem with “Fair”: Single Digit Congressional Approval

First, let it be known WPA does not conduct IVR polling, which is the type of survey referenced in the following column.  That understood, the point is “fair” is not a defined firm when it comes to measuring public opinion, particularly when it comes to political institutions. It does not meet the axiom of mutually exclusive, completely exhaustive (MECE) question design which is the structure behind a good survey question.

The job performance scale in WPA surveys uses “not so good” rather than “fair” or “only fair” as the third of the four categories.  This does have the effect of elevating overall job performance ratings somewhat; however, extensive research on our part has shown that the alternative wording (fair or only fair) severely underestimates the level of satisfaction with an incumbents performance, as in the case in the referenced study (see Poltico article linked below), as a substantial proportion of those who say performance of congress in general (or their incumbent specifically) is “fair” remain willing to support them for re-election.

WPA CEO Chris Wilson wrote an article on this technique for Campaigns & Elections magazine back in 1998:  Polling Jop Performance and Favorability

Political logoPolitico artice: Single-Digit Approval? Not exactly.

 

Leave a Reply

Family Research Council releases survey conducted by WRS on Marriage Amendment

The Family Research Council released the results of a national survey regarding the Marriage Amendment conducted by Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research at a press conference and panel discussion at their DC headquarters today. WPA Vice President Tyler Harber was in attendance to answer questions

The Problem with "Fair": Single Digit Congressional Approval

First, let it be known WPA does not conduct IVR polling, which is the type of survey referenced in the following column.  That understood, the point is “fair” is not a defined firm when it comes to measuring public opinion, particularly when it comes to political institutions. It does

Voters trust McCain to deal with Iraq, Terrorism and Immigration

Despite the economy and energy prices’ dramatic rise as a top issue among the electorate, voters indicate that the war in Iraq, illegal immigration, and continued protection from terrorism are also key concerns and will play a significant role in how they choose the next President of the Unit

AP/Yahoo Poll: Obama faces image problems

The AP/Yahoo News poll released today points to further problems voters have with Obama.  This isn’t the first time that we’ve seen voters, even Democratic voters, say they just don’t trust Obama. A June FoxNews/Opinion Dynamics survey shows that voters trust McCain more than Obam


Locations: Washington, DC | OKC, OK | Austin, TX | Sacramento, CA